Author Archives: Jon Lowder

Why Progressives are Bat—t Crazy

Via Ed Cone comes this interesting piece with an even more interesting graphic about the Senate's health care reform proposal. The graphic compares the projected annual costs of health care (defined as premiums and cost sharing) to a family of four making $54,000 a year in 2016 under three different scenarios: If the Senate Bill is passed, the Status Quo (nothing changes from today's system), Status Quo + SCHIP (the cost of insurance under the status quo if you qualify for SCHIP subsidies).  Basically the annual out of pocket expense for the family under the Senate Bill would be $9,000 while under the status quo it would be over $19,500. The difference is due to a $10,000 subsidy the author identifies in the Senate bill.  He also says that progressives, who generally don't have a problem with "big government," should be all over this thing instead of railing against it.  Here's an excerpt from his breakdown of the "Status Quo" figures:

In 2009, the average premium for a family in the individual market was $6,328, according to the insurance lobbying group AHIP.
However, this figure paints an optimistic picture for two reasons.
Firstly, the average family size in the AHIP dataset is 3.03 people;
for a family of four, that number would scale upward to $7,925, by my
calculations. Secondly, the CBO's estimates are based on 2016 figures,
not 2009, so to make an apples-to-apples comparison, we have to account
for inflation. According to Kaiser, the average cost of health coverage
has increased by about 8.7 percent annually
over the past decade, and by 8.8 percent for family coverage. Let's
scale that down slightly, assuming 7.5 annual inflation in premiums
from 2009 through 2016 inclusive. That would bring the cost of the
family's premium up by a nominal 66 percent, to $13,149. And remember:
these are based on estimates of premiums provided by the insurance lobby. I have no particular reason to think that they're biased, but if they are, it's probably on the low side.

I'm glad to see someone finally putting some digestible figures out there.  While the figures might just be estimates the author at least puts the argument in the proper context.  As someone who has an average healthy family of five (two adults, three children) and who has been in the individual insurance market for years I can tell you that the $19,500 estimate is definitely in the ballpark since we've been dancing in the $12,000-$14,000 a year territory for quite a while.

Out of curiosity I decided to see how this health expense compares to a yearly mortgage expense.  I went to an online mortgage calculator and put in $150,000 for a 30 year loan at 7% interest.  The monthly mortgage payment would be $997.50 which my middle-school level math tells me is a little under $12,000 a year. So the projected "status quo" premium of $13,149 in 2016 is over a $1,000 than the annual mortgage expense on a $150,000 note.  That's truly insane. 

Oh, and the more the insurance is the higher the monthly expense the insured has to report on his loan application and that lowers the amount that he'll qualify for.  That means he and the other average folks like him buy less house, which means the developers have to build smaller/cheaper houses, which means the developer's suppliers sell him less stuff, which means they employ fewer people, and so on.  All so average people can pay out the nose for a piece of paper which tells them that they might not be bankrupted by a horrible illness as long as it wasn't some sort of preexisting condition or didn't happen during a full moon.  That's not just insane, that's bat—t crazy.

The Gift of Her Art

My Aunt Debbie is a beautiful artist:

There are many days I lament my lack of time for artistic endeavors. I
want to curl up by the fire and write. I look longingly at stacks of
reed and oak handles and imagine the basket, I want to dust off my
guitar and play until my fingers are calloused. But truthfully my most
consistent art these days is found in the poetry of living. I have to
confess. I am more and more appreciative of the piece I’m sculpting.

Parents: The Onion Confirms What You Already Knew

The folks at The Onion are geniuses.  Exhibit A is this piece entitled "New Study Reveals Most Children Unrepentant Sociopaths."  An excerpt:

According to Dr. Leonard Mateo, a developmental psychologist at the
University of Minnesota and lead author of the study, most adults are
completely unaware that they could be living among callous monsters who
would remorselessly exploit them to obtain something as insignificant
as an ice cream cone or a new toy.

"The most disturbing facet of this ubiquitous childhood disorder is
an utter lack of empathy," Mateo said. "These people—if you can even
call them that—deliberately violate every social norm without ever
pausing to consider how their selfish behavior might affect others.
It's as if they have no concept of anyone but themselves."

"The depths of depravity that these tiny psychopaths are capable of reaching are really quite chilling," Mateo added.

A Virtual Farmers Market in the Triad

Rockingham County is launching a virtual farmers market for its farmers.  From the story:

The new Local Food Coalition hopes to open its virtual farmers
market for business by March 21 and sell to businesses and the public
in the Piedmont Triad.

A Web site will enable restaurants and other businesses to order
fruit, vegetables and other products from farmers who are members of
the coalition. Farmers will then deliver the food to businesses or
central locations for pickup.

Found in Translation

A few weeks ago I started using Google Voice in a serious way.  I'd just gotten a Blackberry for work so I ended up with two mobile numbers for the first time in my life.  I figured that if I could link both numbers to a Google Voice number then I could still just have one mobile number to share with everyone and get all my calls even if I was only carrying one of my mobiles.

One of the utilities that Google Voice provides is a transcription of each voice mail.  The transcript is hardly ever 100% accurate, but it's almost always close enough that you get the gist of the message.  Still, there are some funny, uh, translations.  Here's the latest:

 Hi. It's John baptized before 2 o'clock get a chance give me a call at ***-**** Thanks

Red Alert!

09_StrayDog2
Okay people this is critical.  The dog pictured here showed up at our house yesterday and must have decided it's a cool place to hang out because he won't leave.  He's well groomed and fed so I'm thinking someone out there is missing him.  Why's this critical?  For the following reasons:

  • We've already adopted two dogs in the last year and if we end up with a third I'll have to refinance just to feed them all.
  • I can hear you saying, "Well just take him to the shelter."  Unfortunately he's a sweetheart of a dog and I can already see the soft spot in my wife's heart for him so the shelter is NOT going to be an option.
  • The kids have already named him Cujo.  That's not good.
  • Riley, our recently adopted black lab, was just starting to settle down and behave and now we have another large male dog that's trying to establish dominance by mounting him every 30 seconds.  I'm afraid that Riley will chew another door frame or two before we get him readjusted.
  • Mia, the little girl in the bunch, will probably need dog therapy if this goes on much longer. 

So, if you know anyone in the Lewisville vicinity that's missing a dog that looks even remotely like the one pictured please have them get hold of me.