Monthly Archives: September 2008

More Wolves

Fec quotes someone who, like me, doesn’t trust the government’s bailout.  I think he does a better job explaining why:

Hat tip to my excellent commenter, RBM.  From the comments at Sic Semper Tyrannis:

The DK writer who claims to know financial markets says there are
estimates of $400 billion in outstanding private offers for these
securities, but the institutions just don’t feel inclined to sell at a
loss right now, thank you very much. If that is true, the Paulson
scheme is just a scam, a pure and simple scam.

Again, we see the perverse incentives created by this completely
unregulated securities market regime. The paper is held by large
corporations that do not want to take a loss. So they use their crony
capitalist buddies in Washington to scare the public into a premature
bail out, before any bankruptcy, before anyone has to deal with any
losses. Nice work if you can get it.

And from what I read, the miserable incompetent and crook, Paulson
does not even feel inclined to discuss reforms right now (dire
sitation, don’t you know). Therefore, as best I can tell, the very
flawed and perversely functioning (IMH economist’s opinion, very
inefficient!) unregulated mortgage securities financiing system will
continue. Forget about whether this will happen again five years down
the road, how do we know this flawed system will not malfunction again
as the real asset values (housing prices) continue to fall towards a
realistic long run equilibrium. It is crazy, crooked and dangerous.
Unless rich crony welfare is the only objective.

I’m telling you, this thing stinks to high heaven.

Tasty!

It’s not often you hear a US presidential candidate described as "tasty", but then again this is the first time John McCain’s gotten the nod from his party.  The quote comes from a Brazilian model that McCain had a McFling with when he was a midshipman over 50 years ago:

While John McCain
attended his 50th Naval Academy reunion Saturday, a Brazilian beauty
fondly recalled the affair she had with the young "good kissing"
midshipman she met a half a century ago.

"He was tasty, loving
and romantic," says Maria Gracinda Teixeira de Jesus, 77, a former
beauty queen and dancer, of the young John McCain, whom she met in Rio de Janeiro in 1957.

Wolves Guarding the Hen House

One of the axioms from business that I adhere to most fervently is that when someone tells me I need to buy NOW or face ruinous price hikes I should actually do the reverse and take a deep breath and consider very carefully the deal I’m considering.  That’s exactly what we need our Congress to do now in the face of the Bush administration’s call to push through a massive bailout package for the financial sector NOW.

Here’s why I think we need to take a deep breath and think before we act:

  • Most of the press has focused on this being Treasury Secretary Paulson’s initiative, with nary a mention of President Bush.  There’s lots of speculation that it’s because the President is a lame duck at this point, but personally I think it’s because they don’t want this thing to be associated with the Bush administration, an administration that no one trusts.  Well, Paulson is a Bush appointee and he’s most definitely a part of the administration which means that his actions must be scrutinized very carefully.  Even if his actions are well intentioned (I personally think they are), he is a crony and product of the industry he is asking us, the American taxpayers, to trust him to rescue with our future tax dollars.  I say future tax dollars because this isn’t money we currently have to spend so another part of the rescue package is that we’ll raise our debt ceiling from over $10 trillion to over $11 trillion.  If we’ve learned nothing else I hope that we’ve learned that no one in this administration can be trusted not to let privateers get wealthy in the process of governing our country.  They’ve already done it with the war in Iraq and there’s no reason to think they wouldn’t do it here.
  • A big part of the bailout proposal is that it will empower Paulson, and/or his successor, to contract with private enterprises to manage the assets that the government is going to buy.  According to this article in the New York Times some of the companies lobbying for the job are the very same companies who will be benefiting directly from the proposed buyouts.  Is anyone really surprised?
  • Although I believe that cronyism has gone on in every president’s administration, the Bush bunch has taken it to a whole new level.  While many pundits are quick to point out the Clinton administration’s contributions to this mess, the reality is that we’ve been under the Bush administration for eight years and they’ve been at the helm plenty long enough to bear the brunt of the responsibility for this mess.  Heck, Bush even had a Republican Congress and an incredibly high approval rating the first couple of years.  Unfortunately the Bushies spent the last five years doing everything they can to undermine the public trust, so now when the economic stakes are greater than they’ve been in over two generations and they need the public trust more than ever, they don’t have a chance in hell of getting it.  And rightly so.  Of course Congress hasn’t done much better, so in general I think we need to do whatever is necessary to hold all of these a-holes accountable and make sure they do the right thing.
  • What is the right thing?  I have yet to read or hear anything that clearly outlines the worst case scenario if we don’t do the bailout, versus the worst case scenario if we do pass the bailout. One number I’ve heard is that the bailout will directly cost every man, woman and child in the U.S. over $3,000.  What would the cost be of letting these companies fail?  And why not let them fail and let the competitive, free market establish a replacement?  I don’t think this is a silly question, especially given the fact that AIG’s major shareholders are now looking for a way to not take the government’s proposed $85 billion loan since it will essentially wipe out their holdings. Is it realistic to assume that some other parts of the financial services market might suddenly be motivated to get their own house in order if the alternative is losing everything when the government swoops in to take over?

    Given all these questions it’s kind of hard for us Regular Joe’s to figure out what we think our
    leaders should do, and considering that we have their jobs in our hands
    in less than two months I’d think they’d want to clearly explain to us
    why they’re doing what they’re doing.

  • Oh wait, that last point is so naive of me. They don’t want us to know because either they don’t think we’re capable of understanding, or they don’t want us to figure out how inept they’ve been, or both.

I know this stuff can be kind of boring to most of us, but it’s hard to overstate how important this particular issue is.  It’s absurd that no one is effectively framing the issue for us, the people who ultimately are going to pay the bill.  Will someone please step up and tell us what the hell is going on?

links for 2008-09-20

  • Citation of some research showing essentially that conservative people are more scared of change than non-conservatives. Makes sense. Then the author ties this fear to the Republicans' political strategy of sowing fear (of communists, gays, liberals, etc.) to keep their folks in bed with them. Then he points to what might be an effective strategy for Democrats: sowing fear of religious nuts, conspiracy nuts, etc. Ain't politics grand?
    (tags: politics)
  • This is cool. It's a story about the only house for miles that survived Hurricane Ike. The house was built back in 2006 after the owners' original home was destroyed on the same site by Hurricane Rita. They asked the contractor to build a house that could withstand a Category-5 storm. As one commenter on the story said, I think the contractor who built it will be very busy over the next few years.
    (tags: coolstuff)

links for 2008-09-19

Pride

Early this summer our oldest Michael decided he wanted to try football.  He’d never played a down of organized football in his life and he had no clue what he was getting himself into, but he decided to give it a go.  All summer he attended workouts at school for three days a week, and usually three hours per day.  Weight lifting was a big part of it, and since Michael had lifted only a handful of times in the past his body soon started talking back to him.  Then there were the football drills, all foreign to him at the beginning, and the cardio training.  He took it all and persevered. Then in August he came home from vacation and went straight into full practices and started wearing the helmet in the 90 degree-plus heat.

Finally the season started and he was issued his beloved 71 jersey.  Then the first game came along against Glenn H.S. and he watched and listened from the sidelines, soaking it all in, but never getting into the game.  No surprise there since he hadn’t even been wearing pads for a month.  Then the second game against Carver H.S. came along and again he watched from the sidelines.  Last week they played their third game against arch-rival Reagan and Michael thought he might get some playing time, but it didn’t happen and he was getting pretty dejected.  We talked a lot about how it was important to keep playing hard at practice, to show that he had the gumption to pick himself up after disappointment and show what he was made of.  We talked about how hard it is to work your way into a playing position once the coaches have their rotation set.  We talked about the whole purpose being to try your hardest no matter the result and have no regrets at the end, about how the worst thing is to not give it your all and then wonder years later if you could have played if you’d tried harder.
PhotoAnd so Michael went back to school and practiced hard.  He wasn’t happy, but he kept at it.  Tonight his team played Parkland H.S.  His sister Erin had soccer practice and I was at the field with her, wrapping things up when we I checked my phone and saw a text from his Mom, Celeste, telling me that his team was up 26-0 at the end of the third quarter.  The message was 15 minutes old and we were 10 minutes from the game, and I figured that if Michael was going to get into a game then tonight would be the night. Erin and I ran to the car and I tried to make record time to the school.  Erin called Celeste for an update and she told us that there were about six minutes left in the game and Michael hadn’t been in yet (she was wrong, but more on that later). Of course we got stuck behind every slowpoke driver in the county on the way over there and then Erin’s phone rang and Celeste told her that there were three minutes left in the game and it looked like Michael might be going in. I pulled into the parking lot two minutes later and Erin and I sprinted to the stadium.  As I approached the fence I saw number 71 lined up in the middle of the line, nose over the center, and then the ball snapped and Michael got two fists full of jersey and stood the boy up on his toes.  The runner took the ball around the end and Michael pursued.  He didn’t get in on the tackle but he was in the mix.  A play or two later he was out of the game and another boy got a chance to play.  On the sideline Michael pulled off his helmet and I could see his smile from 50 yards away.  After the game he told me that he was put in on the punt team at the end of the third quarter, but since he’d never practiced with the punt team he had no idea what he was doing.  That also probably explains why Celeste didn’t see him go in the first time, seeing as there was no reason to expect to see him there.

All told Michael was in for five plays tonight, but I don’t care if he plays another down in his life because I couldn’t be prouder.

Mets! Mets! Mets!

This post is for two of my closest friends in particular, and they know who they are.  They’re Mets fans.  I’m a Cubs fan.  They’ve abused me (with ample reason) over this for years.  Now it’s time for a little retribution.  Below is a 10 minute video of a drunk fan at Shea Stadium who passes out and has fellow fans stack cups on his head while taking pics and video of the whole thing.  But what makes this a unique Mets thing is that some of the fans get their 10 year old kids involved. They start training their reprobates early up there at Shea don’t they?

Winston-Salem Journal Sports Boo Boo

Journalsportsbooboocropped
Apparently it’s a bad week in the local newspaper copy editors union.  Yesterday the Greensboro News & Record made a large gaffe when their very large headline stated an $85 million sum rather than the correct $85 billion, with a "b".  Today we have a smaller, yet still embarrassing snafu at the Winston-Salem Journal.  To the left you’ll see a scan of the sports section from today’s paper that landed in my driveway (click on it to see a larger version).  You’ll notice that the text next the picture of the football player says "Write cutline here about what going on in this photo. Write it a bit more full."  Don’t think that’s what they intended to print there.  Wonder if that error appeared in every copy or only the part of the print run that I received?  I’m also wondering what it means to write a bit more full.