Monthly Archives: March 2011

It Must Be True Because I Heard It On the Radio

Strangely, I'm not shocked by this:

The actors hired by Premiere to provide the aforementioned voice talents sign confidentiality agreements and so would not go on the record. But their accounts leave little room for doubt. All of the actors I questioned reported receiving scripts, calling in to real shows, pretending to be real people. Frequently, one actor said, the calls were live, sometimes recorded in advance, but never presented on-air as anything but real.

The Heel from Dumfries

I ignore UNC hoops as much as possible.  Why?  Because I live in NC and am surrounded by Carolina fans in much the same way a day old bologna sandwich left on the counter overnight is surrounded by roaches, especially if those roaches happen to pregame with chardonnay and brie and cry like babies if someone says something mean about their baby blue uniforms.  

Anyway, my shunning of all things Heels is the reason why I'm just now realizing that UNC's latest phenom Kendall Marshall hails from the same small NoVa town that we lived in the 10 years before we moved to Winston-Salem.  Dumfries has produced some nice players over the years including Rolan Roberts (Va Tech/So Illinois in the 90s) and Cliff Hawkins (Point guard for Kentucky from 00-04).  FWIW, I like Marshall's game; too bad he has to play for the wrong team.

Per Capita Tax Revenue Down, Down, Down – Who Cares?

When I was working in direct marketing we would spend weeks writing the sales copy for our letters and sales brochures. One thing we always looked at was how we would describe any discount we might be offering.  Say we were offering a 20% discount on a $1,000 item, we'd try and figure out which would have more impact, writing "You can save $200 by ordering right now" or "You can save 20% by ordering right now."  We didn't have a hard and fast rule, but generally the lower the dollar amount the more likely we were to use a percentage instead.  Saying you saved someone 30% is a whole lot better than saying you saved them $3 on a $10 purchase.

That memory hit me when I read this post on Tax.com by my go-to guy on taxes, David Cay Johnston:

We take you now to the official data for important news. Federal tax revenues in 2010 were much smaller than in 2000. Total individual income tax receipts fell 30 percent in real terms. Because the population kept growing, income taxes per capita plummeted.

Individual income taxes came to just $2,900 per capita in 2010, down 36 percent from more than $4,500 in 2000. Total income taxes and income taxes per capita declined even though the economy grew 16 percent overall and 6 percent per capita from 2000 through 2010.

Corporate income tax receipts fell 27 percent and declined 34 percent per capita, even though profits boomed, rising 60 percent.

Payroll taxes increased slightly overall, but slipped per capita because the nation's population grew five times faster than the number of people with any work. The average wage also declined slightly.

You read it here first. Lowered tax rates did not result in increased tax revenues as promised by politician after pundit after professional economist. And even though this harsh truth has been obvious from the official data for some time, the same politicians and pundits keep prevaricating. Some of them even say it is irrelevant that as a share of GDP, income tax revenues are at their lowest level since 1951, when Harry S. Truman was president.

So to compare this to my direct marketing work, in this case we have one side of the political aisle saying "Hey we cut taxes AND raised revenue" while on the other side they're saying "Whoa, we have more revenue only because we have more people and those people are paying a LOT less in taxes than they did 10 years ago."  My reaction?  So what!?

I know sometimes I sound like a broken record, but I really wish we could start arguing about the right things.  Instead of worrying about whether or not lower tax rates generate more tax revenue, let's worry about what we do with that tax revenue.  In other words it's totally irrelevant to me that the per capita tax rate is lower; what's relevant is that we're taking in less money per person BUT we haven't reduced how much we're spending on each person.  As I wrote in a previous post, we get caught up arguing about issues that really are irrelevant in and of themselves and lose sight of the big picture. In this particular case I think it's disingenuous of any leader to focus on how much our tax receipts have grown in the gross sense or shrunk in the per capita sense, without putting it into context by comparing it to a growth in expenses, both gross and per capita.  

To be fair, as Johnston points out later in his post, it's not that politicians aren't also talking about government spending – he highlights several conservative leaders saying that we don't have a revenue problem, we have a spending problem – it's just that we continually get bombarded with arguments like this one about tax revenues that really don't make a hill of beans of difference in and of themselves. Johnston concludes his post by saying it is a revenue problem, but between those two points he also writes that there's a need to figure out what we need our government to do and how we should pay for it. I'm going to disagree with both sides and say what I think is pretty obvious: it's a revenue and a spending problem. 

So if you made me king for a day what would I do? I'd mandate that we all agree that the real questions that need to be answered are:

  • What's the proper scope of government services for our society? Should it just be the basics like fire, public safety, defense of our borders, etc. or should it include healthcare, retirement, etc? 
  • Once we determine the proper scope of our government how should we finance it? Flat tax of 10% on everyone but those living under the poverty line and with zero deductions, a progressive tax structure, or a VAT?

That's it. Simple, huh?  Yeah and if you believe that I have a bridge in Brooklyn I'll sell you.  Honestly I can't think of a tougher nut to crack than determining the role of government in our society, and how much that should cost us.  Everyone has their own ideas, and everyone has their government program that they think is essential.  For every person who thinks we simply can't live without the FDA there's probably someone who thinks the FDA is just another example of over-regulation.  So no it's not a simple problem, but getting distracted by silly arguments over how we measure revenue only makes it worse.

Free Business Idea Worth What You Pay For It

I've done absolutely zero research on this idea, but I'm thinking it could be a winning business concept.  Find items that come in variety packs, say Tootsie Pops, and buy a bunch and package all of the same kind together and each kind separately.  Personally I much prefer the red Tootsie Pops over the others so I'd love to be able to buy a box full of just red Tootsie Pops.  If the Tootsie Pops folks don't go for that idea how about letting me buy boxes, pull out all the brown ones, and sell brown-less boxes?

This same concept could work with other confections as well.  Jelly beans? You bet.  I'm one of four people in the US who likes black jelly beans and so every Easter my family is on the lookout for bags of black jelly beans.  They used to be easy to find, now not-so-much.

Now you can't say I've never given you anything.

Memory or Lack Thereof

I'm infamous in my family for having what can most generously be described as a crappy memory.  What?  Oh right, memory.  My biggest weakness is a memory for names, followed closely by scheduled events and/or anything I've been asked to do more than five minutes ago.  Just this morning I was in a meeting and I was talking to someone who lives in a neighborhood near a bunch of people I know and we were trying to figure out who we both may be acquainted with.  I could easily pull first names, but last names were hard to come by, and these are people I've known for years.  Of course later while driving to the office I could remember all of them, but at crunch time they eluded me.

My one saving grace is I've always been able to remember faces, and usually in what context I know those faces.  I can be in the grocery store and see someone from my gym whom I've never spoken to and know that's where I recognize them from, and often after only seeing them one or two times.  This was borne out when I took the Cambridge Face Memory test and scored an 89% (average is 80%).  Nothing to write home about, but when compared to the rest of my memory I'll take it.

I will say this in my own defense: as far as I know I've never forgotten my anniversary.  It's the least I could do for the woman who has lived with my forgetting everything from buying food for the dogs (my excuse is that they're too fat anyway), to forgetting to pick up <fill in the blank here> on the way home from work on an almost daily basis.  She's a great gal.  Now if I could just remember her name…