Monthly Archives: October 2009

Bizarro Banking

If we've learned nothing else the last year or so it's that we can't count on the folks running our financial system to be, you know, wise.  Check out this paragraph from an article in the Washington Post about the trouble Bank of America is having meeting the Obama administration's November deadline for modifying 125,000 home loans:

The company's effort has been hamstrung by a staff shortage and by adapting its computer systems and even fax machines to the scale of the program, which began in March. The company was also slow out of the box because it initially took a more conservative approach than some other banks, requiring that borrowers document their income and complete other paperwork before granting preliminary approval for a modification. In August, Bank of America softened the requirement and began authorizing some modifications without getting all the documents first. (Emphasis mine)

So a bank is struggling, in part, because it is doing what we'd normally expect a bank to do when it's loaning money to a consumer?  Obviously they're doing this because they don't want to risk any more of their capital than they have to, right?  Maybe not so much:

Under the Making Home Affordable program, lenders are paid with taxpayer funds to reduce borrowers' mortgage payments by lowering their interest rates, for example, or by extending the terms of their loans…

Bank of America and other lenders have a lot riding on the foreclosure prevention program. The company stands to collect about $6 billion — some of which will be passed on to investors — of the $75 billion the administration has set aside for the Making Home Affordable program. 

Hey, it's easy to criticize the banks since they really and truly have earned condemnation on many fronts.  It's also easy to laud a program that's set up to help people manage their mortgage expenses.  It's damn near impossible to understand how this is going to end well.

links for 2009-10-12

  • Our town is celebrating 150 years this week and the postmaster is getting into the spirit. "The stamp, in the shape of a wagon wheel with a large "150" in the middle, will be placed on first-class postage during the celebration, scheduled for Oct. 17.

    Lewisville postmaster Michael Boone said he filed the paperwork for the special stamp after a suggestion by town officials."

links for 2009-10-10

  • The roots of NASCAR still to be found in Northwest NC, or, White Lightning still to be found in the hills: "'This is one of the biggest seizures of white liquor I've seen come out of the mountains in my career,' Alcohol Law Enforcement Director John Ledford said Friday of the seizure of 929 gallons of moonshine at a home on Shew Ridge Mission Road.
  • "Just in time for the National Peanut Festival, AP President Tom Curley is sounding nuttier and nuttier:"
    (tags: web media web2.0)
  • From a press release from the Yadkin Riverkeeper: "The Yadkin Riverkeeper® has announced that the cleanup Alcoa performed at the boat ramp access below Narrows Dam on Badin Lake Oct. 10-12 is a direct result of the PCBs discovered and linked to the company’s operations below Badin Lake, which have traveled as far down river as the Falls Dam boat launch."
  • Where was this research when I was 16?

    "University researchers questioned nearly 10,000 15 to 16-year-olds in the north-west of England.

    They got into trouble more when buying their own cheap alcohol, rather than getting access from parents, it found.

    Carefully introducing alcohol to children may help them "prepare themselves for life in an adult environment dominated by this drug", said the study."

links for 2009-10-09

Dell Hell, NC Version

**Update** If you'd like to see a really good discussion about the Dell situation then head over to Cone's blog and check out the comments.  No shouting and lots of thought behind the comments.  Really good stuff. 

A couple of years back Jeff Jarvis, author of What Would Google Do?, blogged about a very negative experience he had with Dell and he dubbed it Dell Hell.  After yesterday's news that Dell is closing down their desktop plant here in Winston-Salem I'd say we're having our own version of Dell Hell.

Yesterday I wrote that Dell's move couldn't possibly have been a surprise to anyone who's been awake the last 18 months.  Ed Cone quoted me on his blog and since at least one of his commenters suggested that it is a surprise to a lot of people I felt compelled to explain myself in the comments:

The reason I wrote that it shouldn't be a surprise was really an observation that given the overall economic environment of the last 18 months, the fact that the plant was built to produce desktops, that the market has been moving strongly towards laptops and Dell didn't seem to be interested in re-tooling the plant to produce laptops and that Dell has been reducing it's workforce at the plant, then it shouldn't really be seen as very surprising that this has happened. Abrupt? Sure, but these things tend to be.

As for Winston-Salem getting back its incentive money I heard an interview on WXII this morning in which the Dell rep said that the incentives were based on job creation and the Dell had met those conditions, so maybe Dell is planning on fighting the return of those incentive dollars.

In addition to my points in that comment I'd also like to put forward the following thoughts:

  • I remain convinced that subsidies stink. I also remain convinced that if subsidies are a part of the economic development competition between states then state and local officials are pretty much forced to use them. 
  • Hopefully Mayor Joines is right when he says "The city, the county and the community will get reimbursed every dollar we put into the project." What worries me is that Dell might go to court to fight the reimbursements. Even if Dell is wrong they probably have less to lose in taking the issue to court and working for a settlement than they do in ponying up the reimbursements without a fight.
  • Even if we get our money back we still have over 900 people being added to the unemployment rolls by January. That's a heck of a hit for an already overburdened unemployment system, not to mention a potentially chatastrophic impact on the employees.
  • Some leaders have pointed out that the silver lining here is that we have a relatively new manufacturing facility that can now be marketed to another company. I guess that's a good long term view, but short term I wouldn't hold my breath. From the Fed's September 9 Beige Book report for the fifth district, which includes North Carolina:

    "Vacancy rates climbed higher across office, industrial, and retail space in most District markets, while the amount of available office sublease space remained fairly steady since our last report. On the sales side, very little activity was reported in recent weeks."

    Maybe we can re-purpose it as a fabulous new indoor soccer park.

  • I've read some comments on other blogs and news stories that essentially say, "Hindsight is 20/20" or "It's easy to criticize the deal now, but no one could have known this was going to happen at the time the deal was struck." Those folks are right, and at this point I don't think it's appropriate to criticize the folks who put the deal together. I truly believe they were doing what they thought was best for the community and given that incentives are a tool that most state and local governments are using to attract business it's hard to criticize them for trying to compete. (We could argue that the price tag was too high, but that horse is out of the barn).  What we should be focusing on is how we protect ourselves in the future. Winston-Salem is in the unfortunate position of having two deals (the downtown baseball stadium and Dell) go squirrelly on them in very short order and I think it's clear that we have to go into these deals with eyes wide open and assume that the worst can happen.
  • Any which way you slice it, this situation stinks.

links for 2009-10-08

  • "Our experience over the years has shown us that the vast majority of managers and leaders in Fortune 1000 companies have deficiencies in their basic financial knowledge. We spend most of our time teaching managers and leaders in corporate America how to read their own financial statements, understand key financial measures, and use financial tools to understand the data."

About Those Incentives

News that cannot possibly be a surprise to anyone who's been conscious for the last 18 months:

Dell Inc. announced today that it will close its plant in Forsyth County by the end of January, cutting 905 jobs overall, including 600 in November.

Just in time for the holidays.  Nice.

links for 2009-10-07

  • "A generation ago, Warren says, basics (housing costs, health insurance, transportation, education, and taxes) accounted for fifty-four per cent of the average family’s income. Today, they account for seventy-five per cent of it. Now, some of those costs arguably do reflect a lack of frugality—homes are more expensive in part because they’re so much bigger. But the fact that more than fifteen per cent of personal consumption expenditures now go to medical care, when in 1930 only three per cent of personal consumption did, isn’t a reflection of frivolity, and that’s not going to change any time soon."
    (tags: economy)
  • Getting smart energy management for your house without having to wait for your utility to install it. Interesting.
    (tags: energy google)
  • Health care reform is vitally important to our country, but I fear that whatever reform we get will not go nearly far enough to truly help us or our economy. One problem is we have people in prominent positions saying crap like what a leader in the Southern Baptist Convention said:
    "A top Southern Baptist official has accused President Barack Obama and congressional Democratic leaders of attempting to do 'precisely what the Nazis did.'" and "'The Nazis said people should be euthanized when they had lives unworthy of life,' Land argued. 'Well, at the very least Dr. Emanuel, [House Speaker] Nancy Pelosi, [Sen.] Max Baucus and President Obama are saying that some people have lives less worthy of life. And the older you are, the sicker you are, the less valuable your life is and the more likely they want to terminate your care.'"

    Look, I have no problem with anyone disagreeing with the Democrats' reform proposals, but comparing the Democrats to Nazis is beyond the pale.

  • My favorite part of Rex Hammock's post is this bit: "Over the weekend, PaidContent.org’s Staci Kramer passed along a joke via Twitter she heard at the Online News Association awards:
    How does a journalist count?
    “One, two, Trend!”"

  • From the story: "U.S. Rep. Virginia Foxx, a Republican from Banner Elk, is warning that Democrats will try to sneak health care reform through Congress.

    It's the political equivalent of slipping a 747 through a toll booth, but Foxx told 1240 3WC, "Hometown Christian Radio," in Wilkesboro that she thinks Democrats will put health care reform inside another piece of legislation that lawmakers would find difficult to oppose."