Category Archives: Forsyth County

Revaluation

The Winston-Salem Journal did a big front page piece in today's paper about Forsyth County's property revaluation.  I've written before about my take on revaluation, but I want to re-emphasize my two main problems with how the county is handling the process:

  • Revaluations should be done annually, not every four years.  One reason for this are that you are more likely to get an accurate reflection of a property's current value, and not a value skewed by a housing market that was hot three years earlier and is significantly cooler now.  Another is that you spread the tax gains (and pain) over time, which is better for both the government and the taxpayer.
  • But given that the county is doing revaluations every four years they should at least come up with a formula that weighs the change in the marketplace.  My understanding is that they are taking the average home sales for a certain area over a set amount of time, which I believe is the five year assessment period.  If your neighborhood had 200 home sales in the first 3 years of the assesment period and home prices were rising, but then only had 50 home sales over the last year of the assessment period while home prices were falling then the average would skew to the higher prices of a rising housing market that no longer exists.  That means your home value will not accurately reflect its current value in the home valuation, but rather an average of its value over the five year period.  What makes that inherently unfair is that you will be stuck with that higher valuation for five years, even if the value continues to decline.

The potential saving grace of the process is that the county commissioners determine our tax rate so they can lower the tax rate in order to lower the tax burden of higher property valuations.  Still, since most people don't trust politicians this is small comfort to most.  

Another point: when the property valuations are low at the beginning of the valuation period and then there's a sharp increase in the property values the county actually misses an opportunity to capture that increase in terms of tax revenue.  If we moved to an annual revaluation they could capture those increases in real time and even if the commissioners lowered the tax rate they would most likely still see an increase in tax revenue, but they would probably have fewer complaints from homeowners because the revaluations would more accurately reflect current values and would thus seem more reasonable.  Also, instead of seeing large changes in value from one revaluation to the next we'd see gradual changes that are easier to swallow.  

More Pie-Eyed Optimism

A couple of days ago I wrote about my hope that due to a decrease in foreclosure rates here in North Carolina we are actually a leading indicator that the nation's economy has hit bottom.  My friend Dan called me a pie-eyed optimist as a result.  I did temper my post with the news that home sales in Greensboro were down 38% in February from same month sales the year before, so I wasn't real shocked when I read today that Winston-Salem's home sales in February were down 30% from the year before.  Average home prices were also down, but given the number of foreclosures on the market that's not exactly a shock either.

So, am I still standing with my pie-eyed optimism?  Why yes I am.  My hope is that:
  • Foreclosures have peaked 
  • Our glutted housing inventory will start to clear 
  • House prices will stabilize (normalize)   
  • By some miracle the government's plan for the banks works (longest shot of all) and even if it doesn't that the "free markets" actually work the way they're supposed to and that we get through the painful period sooner rather than later.  
  • By some miracle the financial industry learns its lesson and starts acting like, well, like what we used to think bankers acted like. 
  • Americans continue with their newly-found frugality, but at the same time begin to emerge from their monastic existence of the last six months and begin to buy things within reason (and their budgets).
  • American companies begin hiring people once their businesses have stabilized and that the companies subsequently treat their employees well and perhaps think about spending a little less on executive "talent" and a little more on employee and customer satisfaction.
  • By some miracle I can retire before the age of 97 and live in a society where my grandchildren at least have the same standard of living that their great-grandparents and grandparents enjoyed.  Asking for them to have a better standard might be a bit much at this point.

Foreclosures from the Feed Reader

One of the Google Alerts I have set up is "forsyth county nc" and it regularly sends some interesting items to my Google Reader.  For instance I get lots of links from a site called bankforeclosuressale.com that include the addresses of houses listed in their database as being in foreclosure. Here's this morning's sampling:

You'll notice when you visit the different pages that the addresses don't show up on the pages unless you register for the site.  I don't want to register for the site so luckily for me the addresses show up in the feed so I don't have to.  The glum part of this is that these are houses that people have lost, but on the brighter side I'm seeing fewer of these in my reader these days than I was a while back.  Hopefully that's a trend that will continue.

Taking One On the Chin

My daughter's soccer team (West Forsyth JV) was 30 seconds from a 0-0 tie with arch rival Reagan High School last night when the Reagan girls scored on a really nice break away goal, so the West girls had a tough loss to swallow last night. Besides the built in rivalry of the schools' location this one is even more special because most of these girls play with or against each other regularly on their club teams.  For instance one of my daughter's club teammates played for Reagan and a bunch of girls from the sister teams from our club and who practice and scrimmage together all the time also played for Reagan.  That made it a great atmosphere because while we were definitely rooting for our own kids we were also giving "atta girls" to the Reagan girls.

The next big rivalry game will be Davie High School.  There are quite a few of my daughter's club teammates playing for Davie and since I was the assistant coach on the club team I'm going to definitely have some mixed emotions going on.  Of course I'm pulling for West, but the perfect game to me would be a close win for West with all the girls from the club team playing great.  I'll keep my fingers crossed.

Followed by a Foxx

My Blackberry beeped.  I looked at it.  The message from Twitter: "Virginia Foxx (virginiafoxx) is now following your updates on Twitter."  As much as I've written about disagreeing with my Congresswoman I have to say that I'm flattered that she'd bother to follow me.  If I was in her shoes I'd have completely ignored me.  Welcome Congresswoman Foxx, and whether or not we agree on anything I'm glad to know you're listening. Now about that stimulus bill…

WSFCS Furlough Questions

This morning I was reading in the Journal about the survey that the school system sent to teachers asking for their feedback about taking a one day furlough next year.  That one day would save the system $1 million, but the catch is that it would have to be taken on one of their professional days which is also known as "teacher work day" or in most households as "who am I gonna get to watch my kid today day".  That's because the school system is mandated to provide a certain number of instructional hours each year so they can't furlough the teachers on an instructional day.  After reading this I had a couple of questions:

  • The article mentioned a $9 million deficit so why wouldn't they propose two or three furlough days in order to save two or three million dollars?
  • The leader of the teacher's association said they are opposed to furloughs at this point because they know too little about next year's budget and they want to make sure that the schools have exhausted all other possibilities like program cuts. Good point, but when you read later in the article that employee salaries and benefits account for 90% of the budget you have to wonder exactly how much program cuts will add up to.  Given that it seems a reasonable question to ask about benefits.  In the private sector health benefits have been slashed over the last few years in order to better the bottom line.  How about for school system employees?  Would it make more sense to look at benefit packages for cost savings?

I don't want to sound like I'm ganging up on teachers because I truly admire what they do and having three kids in the system I truly appreciate what the good ones do every day (don't ask about the not so good).  Still, when you're looking at the economic realities you have to put everything on the table and I don't think it's unreasonable to look everywhere you can for savings.

Dell Shrinkage

Dell lays off 300 from the Forsyth plant.  Dell has to repay certain incentives it received from various government entities if it doesn't employ 1,700 people by then end of 2010.  If I read the article right the layoffs bring Dell's employment numbers down from 1,400 to 1,100.  I wonder how many receipts and barcodes the city, county and state will have to send in to Dell to get their full rebate on January 1, 2011?

Playing Quarters (Not the drinking game)

One of the problems with having a saturated septic field is that you really want to avoid putting any more water into it.  That becomes problematic when you have three teenagers, so we've been taking measures to limit our water use.  This week that's meant making a couple of trips to the laundromat to do mega-loads of laundry.  Consequently I've come to a few conclusions and realizations:

  • Our kids have too many clothes.  Seriously, how many sweatshirts does one boy need?  How many pairs of socks can one girl possibly use?  Sheesh.
  • Having your own, properly functioning washer and dryer at home is one of the great luxuries of modern living. 
  • Using a laundromat launches you out of your little cocoon of comfort.  Watching the people who obviously use the laundromat on a regular basis, evident by their systematic use of the machines to optimize both time and quarters, makes you realize exactly how easy you might have it. 
  • My habit of throwing my change in a box on my bedstand every night over the last couple of years has resulted in me accumulating something like $451 in quarters.  Those come in quite handy at a laundromat. 
  • I'm going to be pushing our septic contractor hard to get our system fixed ASAP.  Dragging clothes to the laundromat and worrying about every flush of the toilet is no fun.  
  • We've used the laundromat in Clemmons that's right next door to the food pantry.  Seeing people who are truly struggling definitely puts things in perspective.  All things considered having a funky septic system isn't really that big a problem so I'm going to stop whining about it.